SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 83.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 4.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.89%) and 0-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
4.94% ( 0.16) | 11.62% ( 0.1) | 83.44% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 39.22% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.33) | 35.88% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.37) | 57.96% ( -0.36) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.86% ( 0.84) | 58.13% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 10.33% ( 0.45) | 89.67% ( -0.45) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.67% ( 0.02) | 6.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.21% ( 0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Kenya |
| 1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.45% Total : 4.94% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.38% Total : 11.62% | 0-2 @ 14.01% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 12.89% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 8.9% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 4.91% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 4.83% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.04)0-6 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)1-6 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.8% Total : 83.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Brentford | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 8 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 8 |
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