SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gambia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nigeria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
19.89% ( -0.05) | 27.28% ( -0.05) | 52.83% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.02% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( 0.13) | 63.13% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.44% ( 0.09) | 82.56% ( -0.09) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.02) | 47.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.4% ( 0.01) | 82.59% ( -0.01) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.1) | 24.27% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.37% ( 0.15) | 58.63% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.89% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 16.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.47% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Brentford | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 8 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 8 |
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