Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.18%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.18) 
0.01) 
