SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 7 | -11 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 69.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.16%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Czech Republic | Draw | Moldova |
69.15% ( 0.11) | 19.36% ( -0.09) | 11.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.32) | 48.21% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.29) | 70.36% ( -0.3) |
| Czech Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( 0.12) | 12.83% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.82% ( 0.26) | 39.17% ( -0.27) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.16) | 49.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.37% ( 0.11) | 84.63% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Czech Republic | Draw | Moldova |
| 2-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 13.16% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 69.15% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.36% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 11.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 15 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| 4 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Brentford | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 13 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 9 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 34 | -18 | 8 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 8 |
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