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CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 20, 2023 at 9pm UK
Blakes Estate Stadium
BN
Montserrat
4 - 2
Barbados
Barzey (33'), Dyer (35'), Daniels (62'), Richmond (88')
Dyer (39'), Dyer (46')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jules (47'), James (90+4')
Williams (44'), Edmee (86'), Jules (90+1'), Leacock (90')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Montserrat and Barbados.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Montserrat 2-1 Dominican Rep.
Friday, November 17 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-4 Nicaragua
Friday, November 17 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 50.05%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montserrat would win this match.

Result
MontserratDrawBarbados
50.05% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 20.85% (0.176 0.18) 29.11% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 70.23% (-0.776 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.84% (-0.95999999999999 -0.96)28.16% (0.966 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.06% (-1.201 -1.2)48.94% (1.208 1.21)
Montserrat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (-0.355 -0.36)11.93% (0.362 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (-0.766 -0.77)37.29% (0.771 0.77)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.553 -0.55)20.26% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.89299999999999 -0.89)52.61% (0.898 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Montserrat 50.05%
    Barbados 29.11%
    Draw 20.85%
MontserratDrawBarbados
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.161 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.14% (0.222 0.22)
3-2 @ 4.94% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.87% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.4% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.63% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 2.42% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.85%
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.063 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.08% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.05% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 29.11%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Montserrat 2-1 Dominican Rep.
Friday, November 17 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Montserrat 0-3 Nicaragua
Friday, October 13 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 2-3 Montserrat
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 0-0 Montserrat
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-4 Nicaragua
Friday, November 17 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-2 Barbados
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 0-5 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, October 14 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 5-1 Barbados
Tuesday, September 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Barbados 2-3 Montserrat
Saturday, September 9 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Antigua 1-2 Barbados
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
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